Amalia Conner registers to vote so she will solid her poll in midterm elections on the Bay Ridge Civic Affiliation in Annapolis, November 8, 2022.
Mary F. Calvert | Reuters
An anticipated “crimson wave” of votes for Republican candidates didn’t come to fruition within the November midterm elections.
A post-election AARP survey factors to at least one motive why — voters ages 50 and up, who represented 61% of the voters in 63 of probably the most aggressive congressional districts and helped give Democrats there a 2% edge.
The get together’s success was largely on account of seniors, the survey discovered, significantly ladies 65 and up who switched help from Republicans to Democrats between July and November.
The survey was performed in November instantly after the election by bipartisan polling staff Fabrizio Ward and Influence Analysis. It included 1,903 general-election voters and 450 nonvoters.
Extra from Private Finance:
Why some worry about Social Security amid debt ceiling negotiations
Some want updates as Supplemental Security Income turns 50
Social Security benefits set to rise by over $140 per month
“Fifty-plus voters had been the deciders,” Tony Fabrizio, a Republican pollster and accomplice at Fabrizio Ward, mentioned throughout a current webinar hosted by AARP.
Inflation and rising costs topped the record of total voter considerations, with 33%, adopted by abortion, 28%, and threats to democracy, 25%.
Democratic candidates ranked excessive with voters who’re involved most with abortion and threats to democracy. Republicans received with these nervous about inflation, immigration and the economic system.
“The truth that these three points there — inflation, abortion and threats to democracy — had been so shut when it comes to being the highest driver of votes factors to one of many explanation why this ended up being Democrats intently having the sting intently in these districts,” Fabrizio mentioned.
“Senior residents definitely made the distinction,” Fabrizio mentioned.
“The Democrats appeared to successfully goal seniors with messages, significantly about Social Safety and Medicare, that helped them regain footing with these voters,” he mentioned.
Based mostly on the outcomes, the bipartisan staff of pollsters mentioned there are key takeaways for each political events going ahead.
For Democrats, this was the second straight election the place that they had success with seniors, famous John Anzalone, a Democratic pollster and founding father of Influence Analysis.
Their success this time round could also be attributed to the wins they might share, he mentioned, together with new laws to lower Medicare prescription drug prices.
“Republicans realized they want extra of an agenda that touches individuals,” Anzalone mentioned.
“That is what I’d say to members of Congress, ‘Do not forget that folks need to know what you have executed, but in addition need to know your agenda and imaginative and prescient,'” he mentioned.
Republicans may begin by getting on board with prescription drug reform, Fabrizio mentioned, which impacts the broad inhabitants, not simply seniors.
They need to even be extra careful with their messaging round Social Safety and Medicare, he mentioned.
“Cease wanting like you are going to bounce on the third rail of American politics, which is messing with Social Safety and Medicare,” Fabrizio mentioned. “These individuals clearly need to see it protected and strengthened, and that is what we must be trying to do.”